Courage - Common Sense - Country

Friday, February 15, 2019

Democratic & Republican party elites have lost the plot.


J.D. Vance on why the elites running the Democratic and Republican parties have abandoned ordinary Americans to serve their own self interests.

Some quotes:

Well, at a big level the Democratic Party increasingly represents professional class elites and Republicans represent middle and working class wage earners in the middle of the country. Now I will say I think Democratic leaders kind of get this. If you look at the big proposals from the 2020 presidential candidates: Universal child care, debt-free college, even medicare for all which is framed as this lurch to the left, but is really just a big hand-out to doctors, physicians, pharmaceutical companies and hospitals. The sort of get that they’re the party of the professional class and a lot of their policies are geared towards making life easier for professional class Americans.

If you talk to people who spent their lives in DC ... who work on Republican campaigns, who work at conservative think-tanks—now this isn’t true of everybody—but a lot of them actually don’t like the people who are voting for Republican candidates these days.

And who will speak for us leftovers in the middle?

THE ALLIANCE PARTY - A PARTY FOR THE REST OF US

-- Mike Power

Sunday, February 3, 2019

State of the American Dream


If there is one thing Americans generally hold in common it is a belief in fairness.  To be specific - fairness of opportunity, not outcome.  Lincoln spoke of it in the context of "the race of life". Everyone should have a shot at making the best of themselves using their natural talents and  opportunities.

So how fair is America?   Are there any objective measures that can help answer this question?  I'd like to suggest there might be two:

Income & wealth distribution.

   

The Gini Coefficient is an economic indicator of how wealth is distributed.  In a country where everyone had the same income, the Gini Coefficient would be zero; in one where one person had all the cash, the Gini Coefficient would be 1.   Where does America stand and where is it heading?  Here's the data since World War II (Wikipedia):


America leads the pack in terms of income disparity in developed countries.  Here's a more detailed view of just America.  The 1991 bump is an artifact but the trend is clearly up.



  The upward trend since the 1980's indicates the wealthiest are capturing an increasingly larger share of the pie.   This has been exacerbated by the Great Recession (Congressional Budget Office).



The net result is that the middle class has been shrinking since the 1960's with a recent pause during the recovery from the Great Recession. 
The bottom line is income and wealth inequality is growing in America.   Perhaps this inequality could be discounted as evidence of unfairness if  the poorest Americans still had the essentials of life and everyone had fair shot of making it to the top.  But that doesn't seem to be the case anymore...

Social mobility


Part of the American Dream is to be able to hope your children will be better off than you were.  In economic jargon this is "intergenerational mobility".  If you are able to improve your lot significantly in your lifetime, this is "intragenerational mobility".  How are we doing? Relative to other developed countries, there's less social mobility in America in absolute numbers.  Intergenerational elasticity is a fancy way of saying you'll stay pretty much where you started.


So globally we're right behind class-ridden Britain in terms of social mobility.  The good news however is that while social mobility isn't high in America, the differences in social mobility between the rich and the poor were narrowing and it was starting to look like at least there was nearly an equal chance for the rich to become poor as the poor to become rich....

Unfortunately, since 2010, this trend seems to have stalled.  Here's a recent map of intragenerational mobility in the US (NY Times):

In large population centers on the east and west coasts and much of the Deep South, it's getting tougher to move up from the bottom to a higher rung on the economic ladder.

Putting it all together...

When you have a look at both income / wealth inequality and social mobility, you get the following picture of where America stands in the world:

We accept a higher level of wealth inequality and social immobility than most other developed countries, sustained by the American Dream that we can individually beat the odds.   It's becoming clear to many Americans that this isn't working.

So - what to do?  Both parties are attacking inequality:

  • The Democrats are going after the wealthy.  Led by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, they're proposing 70% to 90% income taxes and steep wealth transfer taxes.  While the objective is to reduce inequality, past experience with very high tax rates suggests that the wealthy will be able to evade them and this will have marginal effect.
  • The Republicans are working the bottom end of the income distribution.  By reducing red-tape, encouraging the return of American industry and implementing tariffs, the Trump administration is attempting to improve the fortunes of lower middle class Americans employed in natural resource, agriculture or manufacturing. 
Neither party is really dealing with the issue of declining social mobility.  Each is hostage to oligarchical special interest groups who have a vested interest in keeping themselves where they are and others in their place beneath them. 

Dealing with social mobility issues would involve tackling things like:
  • Taxing capital gains like income.
  • Cutting down monopolies and ensuring real competition in all industries.
  • Ensuring adequate public school education for all, regardless of where you live.
  • Reducing or removing occupational licensing designed to keep people from entering many occupations.
  • Ensuring everyone has access to decent, affordable health care - especially young children.
  • Re-writing building codes and zoning regulations.
  • Providing mass transit and repairing crumbling infrastructure.
  • Reducing red-tape created by special interests to restrict competition.
If you can't move up the economic ladder and see no way for your kids to do better than you did, the American Dream is dead.   There are signs of this across the country in boarded up factories, abandoned farms, declining communities, broken families and lives lost to drugs & despair.
 
There isn't much talk about fairness in our current political climate but it's at the heart of what America is all about.  Maybe it's time it became an issue.

-- Mike Power


THE ALLIANCE PARTY - A FAIR DEAL FOR ALL AMERICANS 



Sunday, January 27, 2019

Another hat in the ring?


Sounds like Starbucks founder Howard Schultz is seriously contemplating running for president as an independent.  Although he has never held public office, he obviously doesn't consider that a detriment.  With a personal fortune estimated at north of $3 billion, he has the key requirement to make a run:cash!

His background and achievements are also assets.  He grew up in Brooklyn in a poor family, well acquainted with the precarious situation many average Americans find themselves in today.  While no big (in fact enormous) company can escape controversy, Starbucks is a popular employer which has made a notable effort  to help  employees interested in furthering their educations,  and has programs to help veterans and legal refugees seeking employment.

It's hard to say exactly where he is politically.  He supported Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election but is very concerned about the national debt, while giving the current administration some credit for improving the economy.  There is "draft Howard Schultz" PAC (ReadyForSchultz) already up and running and it seems certain that the guy who built Starbucks from scratch could certainly put together a national political campaign a-la Ross Perot if he chooses.

This appears to be most threatening to the Democrats as noted by commentators at The Atlantic and CNN.  So far, crickets from the Republicans. 

When a man like Howard Schultz is prepared to take a run at the presidency, he obviously senses both a need and an opportunity.  With the Democrats tacking hard left and the Republicans in lockstep with the President but unsure of where they're going, the average moderate American has no political home.  Howard Schultz senses that need and the sheer size of this constituency.  The problem is, without a party, he has no hope of delivering the change he feels Americans want.

Politics is a team sport and no one - regardless of their exceptional achievements and capabilities - is capable of fixing our nations problems on their own.   True progress will only be made when Americans join together seeking common ground at the state and local level to thrash out issues and find home-grown candidates - not self-selected superstars.   The two major parties are in the thrall of oligarchs and special interest groups.   Only a home grown, grass roots movement has a chance of  breaking the deadlock and building a really new third party in America.

The Alliance Party -  built from the ground up.     


-- Mike Power

Wednesday, January 23, 2019

Government shutdown: Month two



You know how this might end don't you?  It's just a matter of time before there's some incident - terror attack, plane crash, bad batch of romaine lettuce and all of a sudden there's going to be one quick rush to reopen the Federal Government and point fingers.  If it wasn't so pathetic, it would be funny.  



Both major parties agree - in principal - that border security is an issue.   Both the Democrats and the Republicans want a DACA deal on the dreamers.  So what's do difficult about this?  Get in a room, hammer out a deal and both sides can get something and declare victory.  Negotiating 101 - what you learned in play school not business school.    


In the meantime, 800,000 Federal workers are without pay.  The lucky ones on furlough can at least look for some kind of paying work in the interim.   The rest aren't even that lucky; they're on payday loans at 24% if they can get them.

 
If there ever was an argument for ditching both parties and getting out of this game of prisoner's dilemma - this is it. 

THE ALLIANCE PARTY - WE WON'T SHUT YOU DOWN.


-- Mike Power



Time to stand up & sign up.

TIRED OF WASHINGTON GRIDLOCK?  WANT TO DO SOMETHING ABOUT IT?

Image result for Uncle Sam wants you

 JOIN THE ALLIANCE PARTY OF NEVADA!

If you're a registered Nevada voter, here's how you can:

If you have a Nevada Driver's License or DMV issued ID card:

  1. Go here: https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/elections/voters 
  2. Either click "Register to Vote" or "Update your Registration" (under "Voter Registration")
  3. Click Continue / fill out info a few forms
  4. Under Page "Review and Update Miscellaneous Information" change Party Registration to "Alliance Party of Nevada"  [Type it in if not shown as a selection]

If you don't:

  1. Go here for instructions: https://www.registertovotenv.gov/SOSVoterServices/Registration/Step0.aspx
  2. Fill out the form, listing your Party Registration as Alliance Party of Nevada.
  3. Submit the form to your county official. 

With your help, we'll put common sense back on the ballot.  Thanks!

Sunday, January 6, 2019

Fairness & the American Dream


Did you catch Tucker Carlson's video last week?  It's well worth watching.


He calls out the establishments in both the Republican and Democratic Parties, pointing out how they've failed the average American and have us on the road to ruin. He takes particular aim at the economic oligarchy on both left and right that damaged our economy to the detriment of average working Americans.  Some highlights:

What kind of country do you want to live in?  Well a fair country, a decent country, a cohesive country, a country where leaders don't accelerate the forces of change purely for their own profit and amusement.  A country you might recognize when you're old.... A country where you can make a solid living outside of the big city.... Above all a country where normal people with an average education who grew up no place special can get married and have happy kids and repeat unto the generations.

But our leaders have let us down:

If you care about Americans you should oppose their exploitation whether it's happening in the inner city or on Wall Street... They don't care about us.  When you care about people you do your best to treat them fairly.  Our leaders don't even try.

Market capitalism is not a religion.  Market capitalism is a tool like a staple gun or a toaster.  You'd have to be a fool to worship it.  Our system was created by human beings for the benefit of human beings.... We do not exist to serve markets; just the opposite. Any economic system that weakens and destroys families is not worth having.  A system like that is the enemy of a healthy society.

On predatory financial activity:

They (our leaders) should also speak out about the ugliest parts of our financial system: Not all commerce is good.

He covers a range of businesses including private equity:

Take over an existing company, keep it for a short period of time, cut costs by firing employees, run up the debt, extract the wealth and move on - sometimes leaving retirees without their earned pensions.  This is the private equity model; our ruling class sees nothing wrong with it - it's how they run the country.

Finally, he has a warning for the oligarchs and the rest of us:

Libertarians are certain to call any deviation from market fundamentalism a form of socialism.
That's a lie.  But socialism is exactly what we're going to get and very soon unless a group of
responsible people in our political system reforms the American economy in a way that protects normal people.


Fairness is perhaps the central challenge facing American society.  Abraham Lincoln spoke about "equality of opportunity" and it's a goal we can all support.  It's woven throughout The Alliance Party Platform.  

But maybe it's time to make it the central focus and rallying point for the Alliance Party.

What do you think?

- Mike Power






A Bowl of Mush